Weekly market recap (from Oct 1st to Oct 7th)
After the Federal Reserve cut interest rates, the Asia-Pacific markets, especially the Chinese stock market, experienced a strong rebound. On one hand, due to U.S. restrictions on China in the import and export sector, the Chinese stock market has underperformed relative to the Nikkei and the Mumbai Index. On the other hand, the Chinese government recently announced a reduction in the bank reserve requirement ratio to enhance market competitiveness following the U.S. rate cut.
Although increased liquidity in the Chinese market benefits various assets, the U.S. market still dominates in cryptocurrency trading, and the Chinese market has a certain degree of closure. Therefore, the performance of the Chinese stock market will not impact the cryptocurrency market. This can also be seen in the stable performance of BTC ETFs recently.
Last Friday’s non-farm payroll data did not show significant deviations, so the market will not conclude that we are entering a recession or recovering from inflation; instead, the economy remains under the control of the Federal Reserve. The CPI data to be released this week will further confirm this. If the CPI data does not significantly deviate from expectations, the market will still be driven by bullish sentiment.
BTC
BTC retraced after reaching 66,000 and has slightly rebounded this week, remaining within its previous trading range. According to the WTA indicator, whales have not taken action over the past week, with the blue bars representing whales and trading volume maintaining average levels. The ME indicator has switched back to a purple bullish trend, and the frequent switching indicates that we are currently in a consolidation trend.
In summary, we believe that BTC may continue to oscillate this week, with the potential for an increase greater than that for a decrease. We maintain our original resistance level at 68,000 and support level at 62,500.
ETH
Compared to BTC’s bearishness, ETH is stronger. Thus, ETH experienced a larger decline last week and has had a weak rebound. According to the ME indicator, there is a possibility for further expansion of the yellow bearish zone. Similar to BTC, whale participation in ETH was low last week.
In summary, we believe that ETH may oscillate this week, with the likelihood of a decline greater than that of an increase. We maintain our original resistance level at 2,800 and support level at 2,100.
Disclaimer: Nothing in the article constitutes investment advice. The article objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies.
Any decisions based on the information contained in the article are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
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